NFL Sunday Night Football Preview & Free Pick- Week 4

Sep 2015

POSTED IN Free Picks & Predictions + NFL Football | no comments

Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints

Pointspread: OFF

Total Line: OFF

The Dallas Cowboys will try and get back to their winning ways this Sunday night in a prime-time matchup against the New Orleans Saints at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Saints will be looking for their first win of the season, but BetOnline currently has this game “off the board” pending the playing status of its quarterback Drew Brees.

Dallas first lost wide receiver Dez Bryant and then another gaping hole in the offense was opened when quarterback Tony Romo was lost for an extended period of time with a shoulder injury. For the first two quarters of last week’s game against Atlanta things kept rolling along with a 28-17 lead at the half, but it all went downhill fast in a 29-28 loss to the high-flying Falcons as slight one-point favorites at home. The Cowboys are now 2-1 straight-up with a 1-2 mark against the spread. The total has gone OVER in two of the three games.

The most troubling aspect of that loss was the play of the Cowboys’ defense in the second half. The Falcons rolled-up 438 yards of total offense both passing and running the ball. Wide receiver Julio Jones has basically been unstoppable through his first three games and against Dallas he caught 12 balls for 164 yards and two scores. Devonta Freeman added 141 yards and three more scores on the ground.

The Saints were without their starting quarterback Drew Brees in last week’s NFC South clash against Carolina and while they hung in there all four quarters the final result was a 27-22 loss as 10-point road underdogs to fall to 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS. The total went OVER the closing 43-point line and it has gone OVER in two of New Orleans’ first three games.

Brees’ playing status for Sunday night remains up in the air and it could end-up being a game-time decision so keep a close eye on BetOnline’s NFL betting odds for this game. Regardless of who ends up under center, New Orleans is going to have to tighten-up its defense to have any change of snapping its current losing streak. This unit is currently ranked 26^th in the NFL in points allowed (28.0) and it falls to 29^th in total yards allowed (397).

It is hard to say if recent betting trends in this matchup will have any relevance to the outcome of Sunday night’s game, but for what it is worth the Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against Dallas. As far as my top pick I am actually going with the OVER on the total line as long as it is not higher than 47 as both teams should still be able to find the end zone on Sunday night.