NFL Week 6 Betting Odds, Trends & Predictions

Oct 2015

POSTED IN Free Picks & Predictions + NFL Football | no comments

With five weeks of NFL games in the books both the Oddsmakers and the betting public have gotten a pretty good feel for all 32 teams. Now is the time to put that knowledge to good use with a few solid picks for this Sunday’s games.

I have broken down the stats, facts and betting trends for all of this Sunday’s NFL matchups to release this week’s Top 3 Picks using betting odds from BetOnline.

Sunday, Oct. 18

Arizona Cardinals at Pittsburgh Steelers (OVER 44)

The Cardinals got back to their winning ways last Sunday in a big way with a 42-17 pounding of Detroit as four-point road favorites. They are now 4-1 on the year both straight-up and against the spread and the total has gone OVER in all five games. Arizona has scored 40 points or more in three of five games and its league-high average on the year stands at 38 points a game.

Pittsburgh continues to forge on without Ben Roethlisberger at quarterback and with Monday’s dramatic 24-20 victory against San Diego as a four-point road underdog it is now 1-1 SU with Michael Vick at the helm. The Steelers still have a number of potent weapons on offense with Le’Veon Bell running the ball and Antonio Brown catching it, so I can easily see them keeping things close on the scoreboard at home to help take this game OVER the 44-point total.

Carolina Panther (+7) at Seattle Seahawks

Carolina is well-rested and coming off a bye following a SU 4-0 start with a 3-1 record ATS. While its early schedule has not been all that challenging with victories against Jacksonville and Tampa Bay on the road and Houston and New Orleans at home, the Panthers can still run the ball behind Jonathan Stewart and play defense with a unit that is ranked sixth in the NFL against the run and fourth in points allowed (17.8).

The Seahawks will try and pick up the pieces after blowing a 17-point fourth quarter lead to lose in overtime to Cincinnati to drop to 2-3 SU with a 1-3-1 record ATS. Seattle’s offense is still doing a great job moving the ball on the ground even with Marshawn Lynch out of the lineup, but there are some real concerns on the other side of the ball on defense. This unit is still ranked fifth in the league in yards allowed, but it has also been prone to breakdowns especially in the secondary. I will take the seven points in this one with the Panthers covering on the road.

New England Patriots (-7.5) at Indianapolis Colts

The Patriots have cruised to a SU 4-0 start and they are 3-0-1 ATS after outscoring their first four opponents by a combined 73 points. Coming off an early bye week, they crushed Dallas 30-6 last Sunday as 8.5-point favorites on the road to move to 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. New England appears to be a team on a mission behind an offense that is ranked second in the NFL in scoring and eighth in points allowed.

The Colts moved to 3-2 SU on the year with last Thursday’s 27-20 victory against Houston as 4.5-point road underdogs, but it has been a bumpy ride for bettors with a 1-4 record ATS. The playing status of Andrew Luck has been upgraded to probable for Sunday night, but even when he was under center the Colts’ offense struggled. I get the feeling that the Patriots will be looking to make a statement in this prime time matchup with a win that easily covers the 7.5-point spread.