College Football Betting Systems

College Football and Betting Systems

College football, especially Division I college football has 230 teams that participate. These teams are split up into their own divisions and play their own tournaments. This does not, however, take away from the fact that there is an impressive amount of matches that a bettor could possibly bet on. Betting systems are methods, proven or not, that are created by sports bettors for sports bettors to make their decision making an easier process. Bettors do not particularly like to look up and read stats all day, every week in order to analyze and predict the possible outcome of each match. Some bettors enjoy this process, and there is nothing wrong with it. However, the one thing that all bettors can agree on is that if there was a simpler way of being able to predict the outcomes, they would certainly use them.

Basic Betting Systems

There are many different betting systems that are used to help bettors calculate the winners each week. We will be focusing on two that have had a good record, and can actually back up their claims. There is the Possession System and Total Points System.

Possession System (vs. the Spread)

This college football betting system relies on the time a team has possession of the ball. It is common to think that a team that has the ball longer has more chances of scoring and winning. This is what this system is based off of. It is clear that football teams that have longer time of possession have an advantage, and it can be seen by how well they cover the spread. Teams that have longer possession of the ball have been able to beat the spread 65% of the time. The value increases to 73% if the team has a possession margin of 10 minutes or more.

How it Works

This system works by looking at a team’s past playing history in order to see how well they have done beating the point spread. Teams that have had longer possessions that their opponents tend to beat the spread. Keep that in mind when looking at these teams stats.

Looking at 20 teams, for 5 seasons, where they have had a 15 minute possession advantage over the other teams have beaten the spread, as Favorites, by 55.1%. More than half the time, a team that has more possession of the ball has beat the spread; we are talking about the point spread, but this does not reflect how well they did against the money line.

Underdog Possession System

Looking at how well the Underdogs have been able to beat the spread after maintaining longer possession of the ball makes the percent go up. This is a good thing, since betting an underdog will not only get the player a bigger payout, but there are better odds.

The same process has to happen, look at how well teams have done, as underdogs, and beat the spread depending on their time of possession. However, for this section bettors may want to put them in point ranges to better predict the outcome.

Based on the information gathered, and looking at the comparisons between the point spread and the underdog records for each, we can ascertain several factors. Underdog teams that have shown longer periods of possession do well with medium point spreads; 3 up to 19.5 points. However, when the point spreads show a close match or a complete blowout, these teams do not do so well, regardless of time of possession.

Teams that have beat the spread, and have had longer times of possession in the previous match will often keep do it the same in the next match; if the next match they are the Underdogs, use the above table to help you figure out whether or not the team is likely to beat the spread.

Total Point System

College football has become faster and more competitive over the years, and it can be seen by how many points are scored during any given match. In the entire year of college football, there are roughly 820 games. Out of those 820 games, a small percent of the games, about 15%, have ended with the total score being 44.5 points or less; if you decrease that number, the amount of games will also decrease.

Underdogs have shown to do quite well at beating the spread when it comes to keeping the total amount of points in any given match below a certain amount.

As the total amount of points increases, the chances that the Underdog team will beat the spread decrease. Bettors should research just how many average points each team usually get when playing against teams that are similar to their opposition. This will let them get a good grasp on how well the teams will perform, making the total amount of points predicted to be more or less than what the sportsbook is showing.

This is a simple system, but bettors should be careful as these figures change as the season progresses. They need to always stay on top of the stats that are involved in these systems; like total points scored and time of possession.

Other Betting Systems

There are plenty of other systems like these two, and bettors should be careful as they could be less than legitimate. The best way a bettor can trust a system, is to make one. Making a betting system is not all that hard, especially for those bettors that are already good at reading and understanding the statistics. To create a good betting system all that is needed is time. Bettors can start looking for patterns between their predictions, and compare them against how many they won and how many they lost. If a certain betting pattern gives the bettor a winning ratio then that can be said to be a good system; otherwise, ditch that betting style as you are losing money with it.